John Brown's Injury Probability

Posted Aug 16, 2017

How likely is it that John Brown is affected by injuries during the regular season? It’s impossible to know exactly, but a group of scientists are wagering a guess.

The health of John Brown will be one of the bigger storylines in 2017. Quarterback Carson Palmer has labeled him the “X-Factor” of the offense, and if Brown is limited or unavailable during the season, the passing game will be hampered.

Brown – whose 2016 season was derailed by sickle-cell trait complications and a cyst on his back -- is practicing but still dealing with a quadriceps injury, and seems frustrated that another soft tissue injury continues to linger.

How likely is it that Brown is affected by injuries during the regular season? It’s impossible to know exactly, but a group of scientists are wagering a guess. The website Sports Injury Predictor has applied an algorithm to a database of NFL player injuries to come up with predictions heading into the season.

Based on prior history, the group believes Brown has a 62.1 percent chance of getting injured this year, which is ninth-highest among wide receivers. The Cardinals no longer have Michael Floyd on the roster, and the unit’s effectiveness could certainly become an issue if Brown does get hurt.

A couple other injury predictions of note: The site places Palmer among the bigger injury risks at quarterback, but he plays a position that isn’t hit as hard as some others, so the probability is only 24.9 percent.

Running back David Johnson sits in the middle of the pack among running backs, but his injury probability is at 52.3 percent because it is such a dangerous position. Johnson is young and has shown to be durable, but it underscores why the Cardinals added Chris Johnson before training camp – depth is always important at the position.

Latest By The Numbers

  • Budda Baker Aces The Test

    Posted Nov 20, 2017

    The analytics site Pro Football Focus has a grading system akin to a classic school teacher. A rating above 90 is viewed as elite, a mark in the 80s is good, a grade in the 70s is average and so forth. On Sunday, Budda Baker was the valedictorian.

  • Larry Fitzgerald Is Not Slowing Down

    Posted Nov 13, 2017

    Larry Fitzgerald is the oldest wide receiver in the NFL, and yet, he continues to perform like a star in his prime. The Cardinals’ wide receiver is putting together yet another phenomenal season at the age of 34. Fitzgerald has 60 catches through nine games – tied with Antonio Brown for most in the NFL – for 677 yards and three touchdowns.

  • Jared Veldheer Back On Track

    Posted Nov 9, 2017

    Jared Veldheer was searching for answers during the first five games of the season, and it seems he has found them. The Cardinals’ dependable left tackle went through some growing pains as he moved to the right side but has corrected course over the past three games.

  • Jimmy Garoppolo Wasn't Right Fit For Cardinals

    Posted Nov 1, 2017

    The 49ers took a home run swing before Tuesday’s trading deadline, acquiring promising quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo from the Patriots for a second-round pick. The bold move by the 49ers and the Cardinals’ lack of aggressiveness at the deadline exasperated fans, but that type of trade wouldn’t have made as much sense for the Cardinals.

  • Cardinals Fumbling Their Chance

    Posted Oct 30, 2017

    In 2015, the Cardinals recovered 14 opponent fumbles, which was third in the NFL. Last season, they also recovered 14, which was second in the NFL. Through seven games of 2017, they don’t have any. That is tied with Broncos and Bengals for the worst in the league, as all three teams threaten to set an NFL record in fumble recovery futility.

Add Your Comment:

Guidelines: Please keep your comments relevant to the topic and appropriate. Abusive or combatant comments towards other fans will not be tolerated and will be removed from display on this site. Use the "Report Abuse" link to help keep the Cardinals community at its best.